AEK Larnaca73Wurzburg65

Wed 7 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions14–961%

Points by period: AEK Larnaca and Wurzburg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
AEK Larnaca	22	18	15	18
Wurzburg	17	23	19	6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

AEK Larnaca open Group E at home after a Super Cup win, while Würzburg bring a 2-1 BBL start to Cyprus.

The expected 40-minute score, AEK 78.7 to Würzburg 82.5, points to a Würzburg win in roughly 62 of 100 games like this. No prices are available for this fixture, so those forecasts are unpriced.

Context

Both clubs begin a new European group. Würzburg played on 2 October while AEK's last recorded game came on 16 September, and no venue, travel or availability factor is established.

Durham joined less than two weeks before the FIBA Europe Cup opener. AEK described the American as a guard, and he was part of the group that secured the Super Cup, bringing a recently added backcourt option into the home side's setup.
- AEK announced Anthony Durham as a guard on 23 September.
- Anthony Durham was named in the AEK squad for the 85-81 Super Cup win over AEL on 1 October.
The Super Cup was AEK's first domestic trophy of the new season. The home side carried a three-quarter lead into the finish and found enough late answers to preserve the result, providing recent competitive context before this European group game.
- AEK beat AEL 85-81 in the ECOMMBX Super Cup on 1 October.
- AEK led 62-44 after three quarters before holding on in the closing minutes.
Würzburg's win over Bonn followed a 90-67 league victory at Ulm. Against Bonn, the side recovered late through a decisive 10-0 sequence and protected the advantage to the finish, giving the visitors recent competitive form entering the European opener.
- Würzburg beat Bonn 83-76 on 2 October.
- A 10-0 run changed a 65-70 deficit into a 75-70 lead in the final 101 seconds.
This is the first meeting in a six-team group that also includes clubs from Estonia, Greece, Poland and North Macedonia. Both AEK and Würzburg entered the FIBA Europe Cup after their Basketball Champions League qualification campaigns ended, making this fixture the start of their shared route toward the second group phase.
- AEK and Würzburg are in Group E with Tartu Ülikool, Iraklis, Dziki Warszawa and MZT Skopje.
- Group E is played over 10 matchdays, with the top two teams advancing.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonWurzburg +3.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca cover +7.5 in the 1st half in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonAEK Larnaca +7.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonAEK Larnaca +4.5Estimated chance69.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostAEK Larnaca +4.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · HandicaplostWurzburg +1.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostWurzburgEstimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostWurzburgEstimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostWurzburgEstimated chance56.6%

Points11 of 15 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonWurzburg over 16.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 34.5Estimated chance79.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca score more than 70.5 points (overtime included) in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAEK Larnaca over 70.5Estimated chance79.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. The 1st half has more than 72.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 72.5Estimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg score more than 75.5 points (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Team PointslostWurzburg over 75.5Estimated chance76.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg score more than 36.5 points in the 1st half in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonWurzburg over 36.5Estimated chance75.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAEK Larnaca over 16.5Estimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. The 1st quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 37.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAEK Larnaca under 21.5Estimated chance64.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonWurzburg over 18.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. The game has more than 156.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 156.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAEK Larnaca over 37.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. AEK Larnaca score more than 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAEK Larnaca over 18.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: AEK Larnaca 78.7, Wurzburg 82.5. Wurzburg score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for AEK Larnaca and 15 for Wurzburg, across seasons and competitions.
- AEK lost their only 2026 European game 87-95 at CSM Oradea in the Basketball Champions League on 16 September 2026, allowing 95 points.
- Wurzburg have started the 2026-27 season with a 2-1 BBL record, including a 90-67 win at Ulm on 27 September and an 83-76 home win over Bonn on 2 October.
- Wurzburg lost their 2026 Basketball Champions League game 73-74 at home to Manchester on 14 September 2026, a low-scoring European outing.
- AEK won the Cypriot Super Cup 85-81 against AEL on 1 October 2026, showing they can score in the 80s in a domestic final.
- Over the last 15 box-scored games, AEK shot 53.9% on two-pointers but only 30.7% on three-pointers, while Wurzburg shot 34.4% from three and 48.1% on two-pointers.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostWurzburg over 19.5Estimated chance58.7%