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Predictions graded

Bora84Rahoveci65

Mon 5 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Points by period: Bora and Rahoveci.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Bora	19	25	19	21
Rahoveci	21	16	23	5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Bora have won both Superliga games so far while Rahoveci have lost both, conceding 103 points a game, so the home side are the clear pick: ahead after 40 minutes in roughly 84 of 100 such games, and winners including overtime in about 86.

Rahoveci did win 95-84 at Bora last October, which is the caution. With prices available on the game, none of them stands out at our numbers.

Context

Bora have won both 2026-27 league games by 23 and 11 points and allowed 65.5 per game, while Rahoveci have lost both and allowed 103 per game. Both sides arrive with more than a week's rest, so the edge comes from the early-season form contrast rather than any availability or workload factor.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora win in about 86 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBoraEstimated chance85.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 84 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBoraEstimated chance84.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonBoraEstimated chance76.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostBoraEstimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora cover -9.5 (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBora -9.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora cover -5.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBora -5.5Estimated chance58.1%

Points2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBora over 42.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. The 1st half has more than 79.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 79.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. The game has more than 161.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 161.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Bora 90.7, Rahoveci 77.2. Bora score more than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Bora opened 2026-27 with a 90-67 home win over Vellaznimi on 19 Sep and a 75-64 away win at Golden Eagle Ylli on 27 Sep, allowing 65.5 points per game across those two games.
- Rahoveci lost its first two 2026-27 league games at home, 84-100 to Bashkimi on 26 Sep and 101-106 to Trepca on 19 Sep, allowing 103.0 points per game.
- Across 14 accepted box scores, Bora shot 52.1% on two-pointers and 34.5% on three-pointers, while Rahoveci shot 47.8% on two-pointers and 32.4% on three-pointers.
- In last season's four meetings, Bora averaged 83.3 points and Rahoveci 77.8, but Rahoveci won 95-84 at Bora on 5 Oct 2025.
- Bora's home games in the tracked sample averaged 87.2 points excluding overtime, and Rahoveci's away games last season averaged 72.0 points.
BetBugs · Team PointslostBora over 87.5Estimated chance63.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 3, 23:01

Selected line

161.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

66%

Chance of 162+ points

+10 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 66%.

Move the line main 161.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 66%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 34%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W77–85

Rahoveciv

Bora

Mar 4, 2026·SUP

W79–74

Borav

Rahoveci

Jan 14, 2026·SUP

W65–85

Rahoveciv

Bora

Dec 3, 2025·SUP

L84–95

Borav

Rahoveci

Oct 5, 2025·SUP

161Avg total points

11Avg margin

4meetings

League table

Superliga · Superliga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Bora

2–0100%

Rahoveci

0–20%

Recent Form

Bora

8W 7L · last 15

at Golden Eagle Ylli75–64 Sep 27SUP

vs Vellaznimi90–67 Sep 19SUP

at Bashkimi76–100 May 6SUP

vs Bashkimi104–99 OTMay 2SUP

at Bashkimi73–88 Apr 29SUP

vs Bashkimi76–75 Apr 25SUP

at Bashkimi70–73 Apr 22SUP

at Sigal Prishtina101–60 Apr 16SUP

vs Sigal Prishtina105–67 Apr 12SUP

at Bashkimi70–96 Apr 9SUP

vs Golden Eagle Ylli79–83 Apr 3SUP

at Trepca64–79 Mar 28SUP

vs Vellaznimi86–82 Mar 21SUP

at Peja80–72 Mar 15SUP

vs Teuta Durres0–20 Mar 11LIG

Rahoveci

5W 10L · last 15

vs Bashkimi84–100 Sep 26SUP

vs Trepca101–106 Sep 19SUP

at Golden Eagle Ylli89–83 OTApr 8SUP

vs Trepca84–97 Apr 4SUP

at Vellaznimi67–63 Mar 28SUP

vs Peja81–89 Mar 21SUP

at Sigal Prishtina69–67 Mar 14SUP

vs Bashkimi88–93 OTMar 9SUP

vs Bora77–85 Mar 4SUP

vs Golden Eagle Ylli75–69 Feb 20SUP

at Trepca77–86 Feb 15SUP

vs Vellaznimi86–84 Feb 8SUP

at Peja60–92 Jan 31SUP

vs Sigal Prishtina59–68 Jan 24SUP

at Bashkimi70–90 Jan 18SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Bora

14 games

Stats

4–1

Rahoveci

14 games

Bora leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+4.3pp

52.1%

+4.3pp

47.8%

3-point %+2.1pp

34.5%

+2.1pp

32.4%

Free-throw %+0.8pp

66.9%

+0.8pp

66.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.4pp apart

37.9%

0.4pp apart

37.5%

Free throws per shot4.6pp apart

32.3%

4.6pp apart

27.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.4

33.5

+1.4

32.1

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

13.8

1.2 fewer

12.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.