Basketbol Süper LigiFinished

Predictions graded

Besiktas90Trabzonspor81

Mon 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–283%

Points by period: Besiktas and Trabzonspor.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Besiktas	24	22	26	18
Trabzonspor	17	29	20	15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Beşiktaş carry a short turnaround and a 1-4 start into a game against a Trabzonspor side that has played once all season.

The scoring projection puts Beşiktaş around six points clear, ahead after 40 minutes in about two of three games and over 164.5 combined points in roughly 63 of 100. Trabzonspor's eight days off is the counterweight. No price here stands out.

Context

The fresh sporting inputs are scheduling ones: Beşiktaş played on 2 October and began preparing for this game on 3 October, while Trabzonspor have been off since 27 September. Both league records are one game old and Trabzonspor's player figures cover a single match, so no availability change is established.

Beşiktaş have played five competitive games since 22 September across the EuroLeague, the domestic league and the Super Cup.
Beşiktaş tip off less than three days after that Barcelona game, while Trabzonspor have been off since 27 September. A short turnaround is a schedule fact, not proof of tired legs. Across their five competitive games this season Beşiktaş have scored 85.0 points and conceded 90.2.
- 2 October 2026, EuroLeague: Besiktas 82, Barcelona 95 (home).
- Besiktas' 15-game results list runs from 30 May 2026 to 2 October 2026.
Trabzonspor carry a league win and eight days of rest into this fixture.
That win is the only 2026-27 result behind Trabzonspor's player figures, with the other 14 games in their 15-game run dated 15 February to 28 May 2026. Six points at home to Bursaspor says little about a road game against Beşiktaş. The eight days between games is the concrete advantage they bring.
- 27 September 2026, Basketbol Süper Ligi: Trabzonspor 82, Bursaspor 76 (home).
- Their 15-game results list runs from 15 February 2026 to 27 September 2026, with 14 games dated February to May 2026.
The sides have met regularly in the league, and this is the most recent of seven completed meetings on record.
The return meeting in Trabzon on 16 November 2025 also went Beşiktaş' way, 98-84. Both are 2025-26 league results, and Trabzonspor's current squad has only one game of player figures behind it, so this is background rather than a firm read on this fixture.
- 22 March 2026, Basketbol Süper Ligi: Besiktas 86, Trabzonspor 80 (at Besiktas).
- Most recent of seven completed meetings on record, spanning 2011 to 2026.
Trabzonspor's turnover figure is the heaviest part of their statistical record.
That giveaway load is well above Beşiktaş' 10.6 a game across their own 15 completed games. Over the same 15 games Trabzonspor made 79.0% of free throws (207 of 262), so they can punish teams without a clean look. Fourteen of those 15 games come from last season.
- 15 completed games, 15 February to 27 September 2026: 203 turnovers, 13.5 per game.
- Same 15 games: 207 of 262 free throws made (79.0%).

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas win in about 68 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBesiktasEstimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonBesiktasEstimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostBesiktasEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas cover -4.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBesiktas -4.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonBesiktasEstimated chance55.2%

Points6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBesiktas over 84.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 164.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Trabzonspor score more than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTrabzonspor over 79.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 82.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Besiktas score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBesiktas over 42.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Trabzonspor score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostTrabzonspor over 19.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Besiktas 87.7, Trabzonspor 81.7. Trabzonspor score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Besiktas have played five competitive games this season through 2 October, averaging 85.0 points scored and 90.2 allowed across EuroLeague, domestic league and Super Cup.
- Trabzonspor's only 2026-27 league game was an 82-76 home win over Bursaspor on 27 September; their squad data covers just that one game.
- Across their last 15 completed games (through 28 May 2026, mostly Basketbol Süper Ligi), Trabzonspor averaged 82.1 scored and 85.5 allowed.
- Besiktas won both 2025-26 league meetings: 86-80 at home on 22 March 2026 and 98-84 away on 16 November 2025.
- Turnovers over the 15-game samples: Besiktas 10.6 per game versus Trabzonspor 13.5, a meaningful possession difference in Besiktas' favour.
- Rest edge is Trabzonspor's: 8.1 days since 27 September versus 3.0 days for Besiktas after a 2 October EuroLeague loss to Barcelona.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTrabzonspor over 39.5Estimated chance57.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 3, 15:59

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

63%

Chance of 165+ points

+9 pp above break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 63%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W86–80

Besiktasv

Trabzonspor

Mar 22, 2026·BAS

W84–98

Trabzonsporv

Besiktas

Nov 16, 2025·BAS

W78–74

Besiktasv

Trabzonspor

Jan 27, 2018·SUP

W71–82

Trabzonsporv

Besiktas

Oct 8, 2017·SUP

W92–62

Besiktasv

Trabzonspor

Apr 29, 2017·SUP

W90–91

Trabzonsporv

Besiktas

Dec 31, 2016·SUPOT

W90–88

Besiktasv

Trabzonspor

Feb 11, 2011·TUR

166.6Avg total points

9.7Avg margin

7meetings

League table

Basketbol Süper Ligi · Super Lig - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Besiktas

0–10%

Trabzonspor

1–0100%

Recent Form

Besiktas

6W 9L · last 15

vs Barcelona82–95 Oct 2EUR

at Maccabi Tel Aviv109–93 Sep 30EUR

at Anadolu Efes81–95 Sep 27BAS

vs Valencia94–96 Sep 25EUR

at Fenerbahce59–72 Sep 22SUP

vs Fenerbahce75–77 Jun 19BAS

vs Fenerbahce71–82 Jun 17BAS

at Fenerbahce68–93 Jun 15BAS

at Fenerbahce88–80 Jun 13BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.80–71 Jun 10BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.73–71 Jun 8BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.95–98 OTJun 6BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.79–101 Jun 4BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.82–79 Jun 2BAS

vs Galatasaray71–68 May 30BAS

Trabzonspor

6W 9L · last 15

vs Bursaspor82–76 Sep 27BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.78–94 May 28BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.65–91 May 26BAS

vs Mersin SK90–80 May 10BAS

at Turk Telekom72–81 May 3BAS

vs Galatasaray79–69 Apr 26BAS

at Fenerbahce90–93 Apr 19BAS

vs Petkim Spor84–90 Apr 12BAS

at Tofas91–71 Apr 4BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.71–81 Mar 27BAS

at Besiktas80–86 Mar 22BAS

vs Manisa96–92 Mar 14BAS

vs Karsiyaka89–79 Mar 8BAS

at Turk Telekom77–100 Feb 17TUR

at Anadolu Efes87–99 Feb 15BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Besiktas

Stats

2–3

Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+1.4pp

53.1%

+1.4pp

54.5%

3-point %+0.2pp

34.3%

+0.2pp

34.5%

Free-throw %13/15 games+6.5pp

72.5%

+6.5pp

79.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.6pp apart

37.1%

5.6pp apart

31.5%

Free throws per shot13/15 games2.0pp apart

30.2%

2.0pp apart

28.2%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+0.4

29.5

+0.4

29.1

Turnovers per game2.9 fewer

10.6

2.9 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.